Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.026880 0.028975 0.031079 0.033346 0.035717 0.038121 0.040739
2025-11-16 0.022877 0.026156 0.029569 0.033372 0.037478 0.041764 0.046562
2025-11-23 0.020265 0.024204 0.028413 0.033215 0.038511 0.044149 0.050574
2025-11-30 0.018314 0.022722 0.027537 0.033140 0.039431 0.046231 0.054093
2025-12-07 0.016447 0.021157 0.026414 0.032642 0.039748 0.047535 0.056649
2025-12-14 0.014818 0.019739 0.025341 0.032092 0.039908 0.048581 0.058843
2025-12-21 0.013243 0.018275 0.024120 0.031280 0.039687 0.049127 0.060412
2025-12-28 0.012632 0.017922 0.024164 0.031907 0.041095 0.051503 0.064041
2026-01-04 0.011820 0.017267 0.023801 0.032012 0.041860 0.053116 0.066775
2026-01-11 0.010979 0.016525 0.023288 0.031898 0.042335 0.054366 0.069073
2026-01-18 0.010539 0.016267 0.023348 0.032459 0.043598 0.056527 0.072423
2026-01-25 0.009899 0.015711 0.023006 0.032501 0.044217 0.057916 0.074862
2026-02-01 0.009197 0.015070 0.022568 0.032453 0.044775 0.059297 0.077381
2026-02-08 0.008551 0.014477 0.022176 0.032457 0.045400 0.060774 0.080042
2026-02-15 0.007897 0.013834 0.021684 0.032303 0.045806 0.061970 0.082355
2026-02-22 0.007329 0.013274 0.021274 0.032229 0.046292 0.063248 0.084757
2026-03-01 0.006654 0.012520 0.020568 0.031741 0.046231 0.063840 0.086319
2026-03-08 0.006016 0.011778 0.019845 0.031200 0.046080 0.064302 0.087706
2026-03-15 0.005345 0.010943 0.018955 0.030403 0.045570 0.064297 0.088506
2026-03-22 0.005170 0.010864 0.019120 0.031019 0.046880 0.066555 0.092080
2026-03-29 0.004850 0.010537 0.018917 0.031121 0.047516 0.067966 0.094614
2026-04-05 0.004491 0.010122 0.018568 0.031010 0.047861 0.069004 0.096683
2026-04-12 0.004339 0.010041 0.018700 0.031560 0.049075 0.071142 0.100120